Québec, lá vou eu!

Em busca de um sonho.

quarta-feira, julho 25, 2007

Desemprego nas metrópoles Canadenses.

Olá a todos, primeiramente queria dizer que está tudo na mesma por enquanto, estou na espera pelo pedido dos exames médicos, e queria pedir desculpas por não ter respondido as mensagens e emails, mas é que estou muito ocupado, tive e estou tendo um mês muito agitado e turbulento entre nascimento e morte, partidas e chegadas, trabalho e mais trabalho.

Bom mas aproveitando que estou postando resolvi compartilhar uma noticia que eu já estava para postar fazem alguns dias, é que um fato que poucos acreditavam que fosse acontecer, aconteceu. A taxa de desemprego em Montréal está mais baixa que em Toronto, metropole tida como o centro economico/financeiro do Canadá, só esqueceram de avisar que Montréal é o polo tecnológico/industrial do país.

Bom aqui está a matéria em inglês, é grande mas vale a pena.

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Unemployment higher in Toronto than in Montreal




Conventional wisdom takes a big hit:

How education narrowed the jobless gap between Quebec, Ontario

KONRAD YAKABUSKI

Globe and Mail Update

E-mail Konrad Yakabuski Read Bio Latest Columns
July 12, 2007 at 7:09 AM EDT


MONTREAL — There are some things you just know you'll never live to see.

Like Paris Hilton winning a Nobel Prize. In Physics. Or Stephen Harper as grand marshal in the Pride parade. In drag. And somehow, you're okay with that because it suggests a certain order to the universe.

Then, just like that, the world turns upside down and you're no longer sure of anything.

On Friday, Statistics Canada reported that the unemployment rate in Toronto, Canada's supposedly solid financial centre, surpassed the jobless level in Montreal, Canada's proverbial second city. No one even remembers the last time that happened, if it ever did.

In June, the jobless rate stood at 6.5 per cent in Montreal, compared with 6.9 per cent in Toronto. A year ago, Montreal's unemployment rate was almost 40 per cent higher than Toronto's - 8.5 per cent compared with 6.2 per cent.

Now go back 20 years, and the turnaround in Montreal's labour market is amazing. In June, 1987, the city's jobless rate was 10.2 per cent, while Toronto's was a comfortable 5.2 per cent. Even at the height of the last great boom, in the summer of 1988, Montreal still struggled with unemployment at 9.2 per cent, almost three times the 3.2-per-cent rate in Toronto.

Sure, Statscan uses a three-month moving average and smaller sample size to track unemployment in major cities, so there is a greater margin of error than with the national and provincial numbers. So what do the latter show? The same narrowing trend.

In fact, with unemployment at 6.5 per cent in Ontario and 6.9 per cent in Quebec in June, the labour markets of the two provinces have never been so in sync. That's obviously better news for Quebec than for its neighbour.

In 1977, for instance, unemployment in Ontario stood at 6 per cent. In Quebec, it exceeded 11 per cent. That five-percentage-point gap has, with some variation over the economic cycle, been shrinking steadily ever since.

This flies in the face of almost every economist's prediction that higher taxes, higher rates of unionization, a higher minimum wage (as a percentage of the average manufacturing wage) and a higher regulatory burden would serve as a brake on job growth and condemn Quebec to chronic double-digit rates of unemployment.

Of course, part of Quebec's most recent spurt in job growth is due to good 'ol politicking. Premier Jean Charest rushed to disburse a pay equity settlement with public sector workers smack dab during the March election campaign, putting $1.8-billion into the pockets of consumers, which has led to lineups at the cash register as women shoppers - the pay equity beneficiaries are all female - blow their windfall on kitchen renovations and summer outfits. Stores are hiring like crazy, offsetting the devastating impact of the near-parity CanBuck on export-dependent manufacturing jobs.

Still, the short-term boost from pay equity payouts doesn't account for the steadily shrinking unemployment gap between Canada's two biggest provinces. That phenomenon is decades in the making.

So what's behind it? The short answer is education. Four decades ago, fewer than half of working age Quebeckers had a high school diploma. Today, post-Quiet Revolution Quebeckers are among the best educated Canadians. In fact, in 2006, fully 69 per cent of Quebeckers between the ages of 25 and 44 had either a college or university degree, compared with 65 per cent of Ontarians, according to recent study by Université du Québec à Montréal economist Pierre Fortin.

The impact of higher education levels is borne out in the employment rate, or the percentage of Quebeckers of working age who have jobs. It stood at an all-time high of 61.1 per cent in June, within striking distance of Ontario's rate of 63.5 per cent.

Prof. Fortin notes that the employment rate among those between 25 and 54 - the age group that covers those who've finished schooling but haven't yet been tempted by early retirement - has actually converged in the two provinces, at about 80 per cent.

An aging population promises an even tighter labour market in Quebec in coming years, as the number of people entering the work force falls below the number leaving it. Eventually, though, demographic decline - and the slower economic growth it entails - could cancel out many of the gains Quebec's job market has made in recent years.

Still, there's no denying Quebec's labour market its due: It's come a long way, bébé.

kyakabuski@globeandmail.com

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6 Comments:

  • At 25 julho, 2007 21:40, Blogger Ale & Dani said…

    Valeu pelo post, não sabia desta matéria.
    Somando a qualidade de vida superior daqui, Québec é o lugar !

    abs
    Ale & Dani

     
  • At 29 julho, 2007 21:05, Blogger Dudu&Tuco said…

    Valeu Fábio pela visita... é isso ai !! Estamos tentando encontrar o caminho e lutando... Boa sorte a você também e um dia estaremos lá sorrindo.

    Abraços

    Dudu

     
  • At 30 julho, 2007 10:42, Blogger Alessandro Silva said…

    Pois é Fábio.
    Estamos nos desfazendo das coisas, programando data de embarque, pesquisando sobre a cidade, comprando malas...
    Enquanto isto estou esperando o
    pedido dos exames médicos.

    Tomara que não demore.

    Abraços,

    Alê

     
  • At 30 julho, 2007 14:45, Blogger  said…

    Boa tarde Fabio,

    Muito obrigadapelo comentario. Estamos tentando aproveitar muito nossa estadia por aqui.

    Grande abraço,
    Fabricia e MOhamed.

     
  • At 30 julho, 2007 16:46, Blogger Ricardo said…

    Oi Fábio por falar em emprego, postei uma pesquisa recente sobre os trabalhos bem remunerados e que as pessoas gostam de fazer.

    Um abraço.
    Gleice Kelly

     
  • At 04 agosto, 2007 10:46, Blogger Alê Brum said…

    Olá, Fábio!!!

    Obrigada pelo post. ;)

    Pois é, vou esperar quase um ano. Mas tem os seus motivos e até bons que vocês logo logo saberão.

    Já já você deve estar recebendo o seu pedido de exames não é?

    Assim que você os manda, tudo passa tão rápido!!! E eu, como autêntica brasileira, rss, deixo tudo para cima da hora para organizar... Então, já vai preparando as malas! :P

    []'s.

     

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